Impact of Wearable Devices on Mobility Patterns
Thomas Blondiau, Transport & Mobility Leuven
We present the results of an impact assessment study of intermodal mobility information on mobility patterns and modal shares.
We present the results of an impact assessment study of intermodal information on mobility patterns and modal shares. We developed an agent-based model to simulate individual individual mode choice decisions in a benchmark scenario and in a scenario with improved intermodal information provision. The model spans the Flemish region in Belgium and is initially calibrated on data from the public travel survey 2014. The effect of the intervention (i.e. the improved intermodal information) is calibrated using observed travel patterns from the Guide2Wear measurement campaign.
The behavioral model allows us to predict the effects of intermodal information on modal shares. We find that changes in modal shares are relatively modest, up to an increase of 0.8% of public transport use in a theoretical maximum scenario. The effects are stronger in urban environments, with better developed public transport offer, than in rural environments.
We also calculated potential financial effects for public transport operators. Overall, we must conclude that effects are likely to be very modest, around 1% change in cost coverage ratio. The effects depend on the extent to which operating costs are covered by revenues from travelers (cost coverage) and on the extent to which new travelers can be accommodated within the current public transport offer, or whether new investments are needed.
Results are based on research that is done in the Guide2Wear project, which analyses current portable information and communication devices, and their potential benefits to the future traveler. The project work includes the development of a prototype public transport application that contains services for:
- local navigation;
- real-time route planning;
- integrated ticketing.
We draw in particular from the field studies on mobility patterns and its measurement campaign. This information is complemented with feedback received from users in the prototype usability test.
Association for European Transport